Currently, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are being observed over the Indian Ocean.
Temperature and Rainfall Outlook for July 2025: IMD Predicts Above-Normal Rainfall
Weather update July 2025: According to IMD’s national monthly outlook, the monthly average rainfall across India in July 2025 is most likely to remain above normal, exceeding the Long Period Average (LPA). Most parts of the country are expected to witness normal to above-normal rainfall.
However, Northeast and East India, along with many parts of the extreme southern peninsular region and some areas of northwest India, are likely to experience below-normal rainfall.
In terms of temperature, the monthly average maximum temperatures in July 2025 are expected to remain normal to below normal in many regions, except in Northeast India and parts of the northwest, east, and southern peninsula, where they are likely to be above normal.
Meanwhile, above-normal minimum temperatures are likely over Northeast India, many parts of the southern peninsula, and regions of the northwest, east, and central India.
The national weather forecaster has also stated that Sea Surface Temperature (SST) – Neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions currently prevail over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Forecasts from the latest Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS) and other climate models suggest that these neutral conditions are likely to persist till the end of the monsoon season.
Currently, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are being observed over the Indian Ocean. The model forecast, according to IMD report, indicates a possible transition to negative IOD conditions during the coming months.
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